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The post-2a tier-lethality trace showed the remaining 0% completion was driven by chained surprise-round nicks on already-wounded fighters, not by the elites themselves. Pattern from the trace: fight day=5 Hobgoblin Warchief: hp_pre=24 → hp_post=14 WON fight day=5 Goblin Archer: nick=6, hp_pre=8 → hp_post=0 LOST The Warchief left the fighter at HP 14; the Goblin Archer's surprise nick (6 HP) dropped them to 8 before combat resolved — and a standard goblin then finished a fighter who should have survived. Same shape at T2 (Dire Wolf nick 4 on hp=3), T3 (Fire Elemental nick 4 on hp=5), T4-T5. The nick was acting as a hidden cascade multiplier, pre-empting the combat engine on wounded entries. clampSurpriseNick caps the nick at max(1, hpCurrent/5) when the fighter enters wounded (HPCurrent < HPMax); at full HP the raw nick stands. The existing 'nick < HPCurrent' KO-guard is preserved as a backstop. /5 is the wounded-fighter lethality knob; tighter (/10) is gentler, looser (/3) re-opens the cascade. Live caller (runHarvestInterrupt) and harness (runHarnessFight) both route through the new helper so the sim measures the same lever the live caller applies. Matrix delta is mild (encs +0.1-0.2 per cell, completion% still 0%) but the tier-lethality trace stretches substantively: T1 trial 0 ran 5→8 encs / 5→7 days, T3 trial 1 saw a fighter survive multiple chained interrupts at low HP that pre-2b would have ended on nick alone. The remaining deaths are now legible as elite-one-shot fights on fresh entries (Warchief, Green Hag, Roper, Young Red Dragon) — that's the Phase 2c roster-gate signal. Push-back on the original lever-order: the Phase 2a recap put roster gate first, but the trace fingerprint named the wounded-entry nick as the dominant cause-of-death in 4 of 5 tier traces. Doing nick-cap first keeps Phase 2c's diagnostic clean and avoids re-tuning rosters after another lever changes the shape under us. Pre-existing failures unrelated to this change: - TestAdv2Scenario_ZoneRunGoblinWarrens (advance regression, prior) - TestMageSpellbookLineInRender (render assertion, prior) Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>