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f2c2d774d4
The post-J1 sweep had the casters clustered at 19–22% L12 clear, vs martials at 70–80%. A per-round trace across 240 boss-room fights showed why: autoResolveCombat dispatched !attack only — zero spell_casts, zero mid-fight consumable uses across every caster class. The entire "caster cliff" was the sim measuring a strawman where casters couldn't cast. J2a teaches the sim's autoResolveCombat to mirror a competent prod player: heal at low HP if an inventory consumable is available, otherwise cast the highest-EV damage spell (slot or cantrip), otherwise swing. BuildCharacter now seeds the known-spell list via ensureSpellsForCharacter so the synthetic spellbook is populated. A -trace flag on the cmd attaches the raw CombatEvent stream to the last combat of each run for post-hoc diagnostics. A first re-baseline (n=100, all 10 classes) showed Ranger regressed -35.8pp — the picker was burning L3 slots on lightning_arrow when Ranger's weapon chassis (Hunter's Mark + Extra Attack) was the better play. Added simMartialFirstClass to gate the picker off for Ranger and Paladin (whose default kit is also weapon-first / no damage spells). J2c experimented with widening the picker to control + heal spells; heal-spell preempt cost druid 10pp (slot heals are 10HP vs 40HP consumables) and control-spell scoring at 22 cost warlock 6.6pp. Both reverted. Corpora retained under baseline_j2c*.jsonl for the post-mortem in sim_results/j2b_findings.md. Post-J2 L12 leaderboard (baseline_j2a_v2_all10.jsonl, n=100): fighter 80.0, ranger 80.0, paladin 78.4, rogue 76.8, druid 61.6, mage 53.4, sorcerer 50.6, warlock 48.2, bard 40.4, cleric 39.0. The caster cluster is dissolved; martials are within ±5pp of J1 (sweep noise). Bard/cleric still trail, but it's no longer a sim artifact — their defaultKnownSpells damage rosters cap at L2 and the picker can't pick spells they don't have. That's a prod-level fix, deferred. J3 trace (sim_results/j3_findings.md): T5 dragons_lair walls every solo class at 0% (Infernax 546 HP vs solo player HP 110–175; ~25% boss HP eaten before TPK across all classes). Per the J3 plan menu, this is party-shaped content the engine doesn't yet have parties for. Surface a TwinBee-voiced heads-up in handleDnDExpeditionCmd's start path and a matching tag in !expedition list — players see "raid-shaped — solo runs not yet survivable" before they spend outfitting coin. No combat or class balance changes. Files: cmd/expedition-sim/main.go +trace flag; expedition_sim.go picker + SimCombatSummary.Events + spellbook seed; dnd_expedition_cmd.go raidContentWarning + list tag. All baselines + traces + findings checked in under sim_results/.
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16 KiB